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An agent-based model of financial returns in a limit order market

Koichi Hamada, Kouji Sasaki and Toshiaki Watanabe
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Koichi Hamada: Yale University
Kouji Sasaki: Bank of Japan
Toshiaki Watanabe: Tokyo Metropolitan University

A chapter in Practical Fruits of Econophysics, 2006, pp 158-162 from Springer

Abstract: Summary A set of finance literature shows that asset return processes are characterized by a GARCH class conditional volatility and fat-tail distributed disturbances, such as mixture of normal distributions and t-distribution (Watanabe 2000; Watanabe and Asai 2004). This paper finds that this type of complicated process arises by aggregating returns of a risky asset traded in a limit order market. The conditional volatility of generated return series can be modeled as a GARCH class since the volatility gradually diminishes as the price assimilates the new information about the future asset return. The reason why the error term of estimated model is fat-tail distributed is that the return of transaction prices is distributed as a mixture of normals; one of the two distributions represents the drift of the price process, and the other represents the liquidity effect.

Keywords: Agent model; Liquidity; Limit order market (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-4-431-28915-9_28

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DOI: 10.1007/4-431-28915-1_28

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