Future Status of Airborne Infectious Diseases: Evolution and Eradication

Masayuki Kakehashi and Fumitaka Yoshinaga
Additional contact information
Fumitaka Yoshinaga: Hiroshima University School of Medicine, Department of Public Health

A chapter in Global Interdependence, 1992, pp 331-331 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract We predicted the future status of airborne infectious diseases in a human population using a mathematical model of infectious diseases. The predictions were derived from the viewpoints of evolution and eradication. We predicted that, from an evolutionary viewpoint, pathogens evolve to be less virulent as the host life span increases. The condition for successful eradication was derived mathematically: susceptible host density in the absence of the pathogen should be reduced less than that in the presence of the pathogen. The predictions were considered to be valid for a wide range of infectious diseases. The extent to which the history of man and pathogens can be verified by the predictions was also discussed.

Date: 1992
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-4-431-68189-2_50

Ordering information: This item can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/9784431681892

DOI: 10.1007/978-4-431-68189-2_50

Access Statistics for this chapter

More chapters in Springer Books from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().