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ARCH, GARCH, and Time-Varying Variance

John D. Levendis
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John D. Levendis: Loyola University New Orleans

Chapter Chapter 9 in Time Series Econometrics, 2023, pp 201-262 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Given that risk (unpredictable ups and downs) and return are fundamental to finance, it is natural that financial econometricians would begin trying to model variance rigorously. Financial markets are notorious for their volatility, with periods of relative stability followed by periods of turbulence. The fact that the variance today depends, in some part, on the variance yesterday implies that variance itself can be modeled as an autoregressive process. The fact that this change can be sudden raises questions of structural change. In this chapter, we take earlier models that focused on the level of a time series, and extend them to model variance.

Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sptchp:978-3-031-37310-7_9

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-37310-7_9

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