Life Expectancy, Deterioration Function and Application to Halley Breslau Data

Christos H. Skiadas and Charilaos Skiadas
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Christos H. Skiadas: ManLab, Technical University of Crete
Charilaos Skiadas: Hanover College, Department of Mathematics/Computer Science

Chapter Chapter 1 in Exploring the Health State of a Population by Dynamic Modeling Methods, 2018, pp 1-19 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Further to the proposal and application of a stochastic methodology and the resulting first exit time distribution function to life table data we introduce a theoretical framework for the estimation of the maximum deterioration age and to explore on how vitality, according to Halley and Strehler and Mildvan (Science 132:14–21, 1960), changes during the human lifetime. The mortality deceleration or mortality leveling-off is also explored. The effect of the deterioration over time is estimated as the expectation that an individual will survive from the deterioration caused in his organism by the deterioration mechanism. A method is proposed and the appropriate software was developed for the estimation of life expectancy. Several applications follow. The method was applied to the Halley (Philos Trans 17:596–610, 1693) life table data of Breslau. Extrapolations are done showing a gradual improvement of vitality mechanisms during last centuries.

Date: 2018
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-65142-2_1

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