An Intervention Analysis Regarding the Impact of the Introduction of Budget Airline Routes to Maltese Tourism Demographics

Maristelle Darmanin () and David Suda ()
Additional contact information
Maristelle Darmanin: National Statistics Office
David Suda: University of Malta

Chapter Chapter 20 in Demography and Health Issues, 2018, pp 237-249 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Intervention analysis is an important method for analysing temporary or long-lasting effects of sudden events on time series data. We use monthly data of the National Statistics Office’s Tourstat survey covering the years 2003 up to 2012. This contains a number of time series regarding tourist demographics, the type of tourism, and other variables of economic relevance. We apply intervention analysis to determine the impact of the introduction of budget airline routes to Maltese tourism related time series. We consider two main interventions. The first is the introduction of Italy and UK bound routes in October 2006. The second is the introduction of a considerable number of routes in March 2010, in particular the Marseille route. In addition to the standard types of intervention introduced by Box and Tiao (1975), the step and the pulse intervention, we also use a periodic pulse intervention which allows us to cater for any seasonality in the intervention effect, with the corresponding transfer function possibilities. We conclude with a critique of this method for this data.

Keywords: Time series analysis; Intervention analysis; Tourism (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:ssdmcp:978-3-319-76002-5_20

Ordering information: This item can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/9783319760025

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-76002-5_20

Access Statistics for this chapter

More chapters in The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().