Introduction and Background

Jakub Bijak ()
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Jakub Bijak: School of Social Sciences, Centre for Population Change and S3RI, University of Southampton

Chapter Chapter 1 in Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View, 2011, pp 3-13 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract The current book is devoted to known (although seldom used by demographers) Bayesian statistical methods, applied in one of the most under-researched areas of population forecasting; that is, predictions of international migration. The study aims to keep up to date with the methodological state-of-the-art migration forecasting by presenting a thorough review of methods, while at the same time advocating for the use of the stochastic approach within the Bayesian framework, which allows for a formal incorporation of expert judgement. The current, introductory chapter presents the background, aims, scope and structure of the book, as well as terminological and notational conventions.

Keywords: European Union; International Migration; Expert Judgement; Migration Flow; Population Forecast (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:ssdmcp:978-90-481-8897-0_1

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DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-8897-0_1

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