The Future of European Populations and the European Labour Force, 2002–2052

Jakub Bijak (), Dorota Kupiszewska (), Marek Kupiszewski () and Katarzyna Saczuk ()
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Jakub Bijak: University of Southampton, Division of Social Statistics and Demography, ESRC Centre for Population Change and the Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute
Dorota Kupiszewska: IOM, Central European Forum for Migration and Population Research
Marek Kupiszewski: Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization of the Polish Academy of Sciences
Katarzyna Saczuk: IOM, Central European Forum for Migration and Population Research

Chapter Chapter 12 in International Migration and the Future of Populations and Labour in Europe, 2013, pp 207-230 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract In this chapter, population and labour force projections for 27 selected European countries for 2002–2052 are presented, focusing on the impact of international migration on population and labour force dynamics. Starting from single scenarios for fertility, mortality and economic activity, we explore three sets of assumptions regarding migration flows, taking into account probable policy developments in Europe following the enlargement of the EU. In addition to age structures, various support ratio indicators are analysed. The results indicate that plausible immigration cannot offset the negative effects of population and labour force ageing.

Keywords: Labor Force Forecast; Old-age Dependency Ratio (ODR); Immigration Attitudes; Uncertainty Span; Basic Scenario (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:ssdmcp:978-90-481-8948-9_12

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DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-8948-9_12

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