International Migration Scenarios for 27 European Countries, 2002–2052

Jakub Bijak (), Anna Kicinger () and Marek Kupiszewski ()
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Jakub Bijak: University of Southampton, Division of Social Statistics and Demography, ESRC Centre for Population Change, Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute
Anna Kicinger: IOM, Central European Forum for Migration and Population Research
Marek Kupiszewski: Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization of the Polish Academy of Sciences

Chapter Chapter 5 in International Migration and the Future of Populations and Labour in Europe, 2013, pp 75-92 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract In this chapter assumptions about future developments of international migration in 27 European countries over the period 2002–2052 are summarized. The assumptions were developed to serve as an input for the forecasts and simulations of population and labour force developments in Europe. On the basis of an overview of the theories of international migration, various ‘push’ and ‘pull’ factors and recent migration trends in Europe presented before, three knowledge-based scenarios for the future are presented and subsequently quantified. The scenarios are formulated separately for the flows among the 27 countries under study and for the net migration with the other parts of the world.

Keywords: Labour Market; International Migration; Destination Country; Base Scenario; Migration Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:ssdmcp:978-90-481-8948-9_5

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DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-8948-9_5

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