Special Adjustments

Stanley K. Smith, Jeff Tayman and David A. Swanson
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Stanley K. Smith: University of Florida, Bureau of Economic and Business Research
Jeff Tayman: University of California-San Diego, Economics Department
David A. Swanson: University of California Riverside, Department of Sociology

Chapter Chapter 10 in A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections, 2013, pp 251-285 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Population projections can generally be constructed in a relatively straightforward manner, but there are circumstances in which the projection model must be adjusted to account for confounding characteristics or events. One common adjustment is for special populations such as college students and prison inmates. There are also circumstances in which a set of projections must be controlled to an independent projection or adjusted to provide additional temporal or age detail. In this chapter, we discuss the circumstances in which unadjusted projections might provide unacceptable results and describe ways for making the necessary adjustments. We also describe several methods for controlling to independent projections and for interpolating within age groups or between target years. The adjustments described in this chapter increase the complexity of the projection process, but often lead to substantial improvements in the quality and usefulness of the projections.

Keywords: Census Tract; Adjustment Factor; Population Projection; American Community Survey; Demographic Subgroup (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:ssdmcp:978-94-007-7551-0_10

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DOI: 10.1007/978-94-007-7551-0_10

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