 Spatial Model of U.S. Presidential Election in 2012Jeong Hyun Kim and
Norman Schofield ()
A chapter in The Political Economy of Social Choices, 2016, pp 233-241 from Springer Abstract: Abstract Using a survey from a nationally representative sample in the U.S., this paper applies a spatial model of election to 2012 U.S. Presidential election. Studying 2012 Presidential election allows us to examine the role of activists in U.S. elections, since this election is the first presidential election after the historical Citizens United decision by the U.S. Supreme Court, which resulted in the removal of the limits on campaign contribution. By estimating a set of multinomial logit models, we find that ideological distance between candidate and voters still plays a significant role in determining vote choice in the U.S. elections. However, the valence of candidate in 2012 election turns out to be not a statically significant predictor of vote choice. These finding suggest that the exogenous increase in campaign contribution has emphasized the role of ideological distance in voting behavior, while reducing the effect of valence. Keywords: Multinomial logit; Stochastic electoral models; U.S. presidential elections; Valence (search for similar items in EconPapers) There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it. Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:stpocp:978-3-319-40118-8_10 Ordering information: This item can be ordered from DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-40118-8_10 Access Statistics for this chapter More chapters in Studies in Political Economy from Springer |
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