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Application of Intellectual DSS to Medium-Term Forecasting of the Sea Ice Area in the Northern Hemisphere

Oleg Bukharov, Dmitry Bogolyubov, Valery Fedorov and Pavel Grebennikov
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Oleg Bukharov: National Research University, Russia
Dmitry Bogolyubov: National Research University, Russia
Valery Fedorov: Moscow State University, Russia
Pavel Grebennikov: Moscow State University, Russia

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Abstract: The paper is devoted to the description of a new multi-purpose intellectual decision support system. We present the algorithms used and the results achieved in applying the system to analyzing and forecasting the sea ice area in the Northern Hemisphere. The impact of solar radiation on the changes in the sea ice area was confirmed. Application of interval neural nets to medium-term forecasting of sea ice area changes was justified.

Keywords: decision support system; DSS; sea ice; solar radiation; neural network; genetic algorithm (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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