Global Economic Prospects, January 2022

World Bank

No 36519 in World Bank Publications - Books from The World Bank Group

Abstract: The global recovery is set to decelerate amid diminished policy support, continued COVID-19 flare-ups, and lingering supply bottlenecks. In contrast to that in advanced economies, output in emerging market and developing economies will remain markedly below pre-pandemic trends over the forecast horizon. The outlook is clouded by various downside risks, including new COVID-19 outbreaks, the possibility of de-anchored inflation expectations, and financial stress in a context of record-high debt levels. If some countries eventually require debt restructuring, this will be more difficult to achieve than in the past. Climate change may increase commodity price volatility, creating challenges for the almost two-thirds of emerging market and developing economies that rely heavily on commodity exports and highlighting the need for asset diversification. Social tensions may heighten as a result of the increase in inequality caused by the pandemic. These challenges underscore the importance of strengthened global cooperation to promote a green, resilient, and inclusive recovery path.

Keywords: Macroeconomics; and; Economic; Growth-Commodities; Macroeconomics; and; Economic; Growth-Economic; Forecasting; Macroeconomics; and; Economic; Growth-Economic; Growth; Macroeconomics; and; Economic; Growth-Economic; Conditions; and; Volatility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
ISBN: 978-1-4648-1758-8
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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