Immigration Reform Scenarios for US Agriculture

Peter Dixon and Maureen Rimmer

Chapter 16 in Policy Analysis and Modeling of the Global Economy:A Festschrift Celebrating Thomas Hertel, 2021, pp 517-557 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: The general equilibrium method adopted here reveals several effects of agriculture-focused immigration policies that would not have emerged in partial equilibrium analysis applied to agriculture. Our general equilibrium model includes specifications of inter-sectoral labor flows; the role of vacancies in determining occupational choices; and macroeconomic relationships. This enables us to show that agricultural guest-worker and legalization programs are likely to have similar effects on the agricultural sector; cause a gradual welfare-enhancing transformation of the occupational mix of incumbent employment away from agriculture; have small (possibly negative) effects on farm income; and have positive effects on aggregate capital, employment, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

Keywords: Computable General Equilibrium Modeling; CGE Models; Trade Policy Modeling; GTAP; Global Trade Analysis Project; Trade Impact Assessments; Sustainability Impact Assessments; Trade and Employment; Trade and Climate; Globalization; Preferential Trade Agreements; Thomas Hertel (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C68 F13 F18 Q54 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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