NFL Analytics II

Leonard C. MacLean and William T. Ziemba

Chapter 10 in Sports Analytics, 2022, pp 129-137 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: This chapter discusses several topics. First is an interesting sports decision situation, namely, an analysis of a crucial play late in a playoff game against Peyton Manning’s Indianapolis Colts on 4th down to pass, run or punt that was the correct decision but lost the top NFL game of the year by New England coach Bill Belichick. We then discuss the jet lag effect and how to calculate the home field advantage. Then we discuss the decision of what to do on 4th down on the 1 yard line. Finally we discuss when to go for 1 or 2 point conversions after a touchdown.

Keywords: Sports Analytics; Statistical Analysis of Sports Decisions; NFL Football; Thoroughbred Racing; Basketball; Baseball; Hockey; Jai Alai; Optimal Betting Strategies; Mean Reversion Risk; Arbitrage; Decision Strategies by Coaches (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C1 L83 Z2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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