A Note on Stock Market Seasonality: The Impact of Stock Price Volatility on the Application of Dummy Variable Regression Model

Chin-Chen Chien, Cheng Few Lee and Andrew M. L. Wang

Chapter 39 in Handbook of Investment Analysis, Portfolio Management, and Financial Derivatives:In 4 Volumes, 2024, pp 1329-1338 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: This article provides both statistical analysis and empirical evidence that the dummy variable regression models extensively employed in the market seasonality literature may wind-up misleading results. We show that the estimates of the said model tend to reject the null hypothesis incorrectly once the stock returns exhibit higher volatility for the specified period under examination. Our empirical results suggest that the so-called “January effect” could be attributed to the application of inappropriate statistical method.

Keywords: Financial Accounting; Financial Auditing; Mutual Funds; Hedge Funds; Asset Pricing; Options; Portfolio Analysis; Risk Management; Investment Analysis; Momentum Analysis; Behavior Analysis; Futures; Index Futures; CDCs; Financial Econometrics; Statistics; Financial Derivatives; Financial Accounting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G1 G11 G12 G3 M41 M42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/pdf/10.1142/9789811269943_0039 (application/pdf)
https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/9789811269943_0039 (text/html)
Ebook Access is available upon purchase.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789811269943_0039

Ordering information: This item can be ordered from

Access Statistics for this chapter

More chapters in World Scientific Book Chapters from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Tai Tone Lim ().