A Modeling Framework for the Diffusion of Green Technologies

Mitsutaka Mutsumoto, Shinsuke Kondoh, Jun Fujimoto and Keijiro Masui
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Mitsutaka Mutsumoto: Environmentally Conscious Design and Manufacturing Group, Advanced Manufacturing Research Institute, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST), Japan
Shinsuke Kondoh: Environmentally Conscious Design and Manufacturing Group, Advanced Manufacturing Research Institute, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST), Japan
Jun Fujimoto: University of Tokyo, Japan
Keijiro Masui: Environmentally Conscious Design and Manufacturing Group, Advanced Manufacturing Research Institute, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST), Japan

Chapter 8 in Management of Technology Innovation and Value Creation:Selected Papers from the 16th International Conference on Management of Technology, 2008, pp 121-136 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: AbstractWe propose a modeling framework based on multi-agent models for analyzing the effects of environmental measures that depend on environmental technological innovations. In the present paper, we first outline existing approaches and clarify our objective in formulating the proposed framework. Previous major approaches have been 1) economic rationalistic models and 2) logistic curve models. We augmented logistic curve models by applying multi-agent models and setting the parameters of technological advancement and parameters of consumer preferences in the multi-agent framework. In addition, as an example of application of the proposed framework, we estimate the diffusion of hybrid electric vehicles (HV) in Japan until 2030 and the corresponding effect on CO2 emission levels.

Keywords: International Trade/Business; Econometrics; Accounting Regulations; R&D Management; Environmental Engineering; Technology Transfer; Technology Strategy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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