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Conditional Risk Premiums of Asian Real Estate Stocks

Jianping (J.P.) Mei and Jiawei Hu
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Jianping (J.P.) Mei: Stern School of Business, New York University, USA
Jiawei Hu: Stern School of Business, New York University, USA

Chapter 10 in Asset Pricing, 2003, pp 217-237 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: AbstractThis paper uses a multi-factor, latent-variable model to examine the time variation of expected returns on Asian property stocks. Using data from 1990 to 1997, we found strong evidence of time-varying risk premium, suggesting that property development based on constant discount rate may underestimate the cost of capital. A further study using a multi-country model suggests that conditional excess returns of many crisis-stricken economies appear to move quite closely with each other. This supports the hypothesis that the risk premiums in these Asian markets move closely over time. As a result, they provide a partial explanation of market contagion in the region

Date: 2003
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