BIASES IN BETTING: AN APPLICATION OF LABORATORY FINDINGS

Mary Ann Metzger
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Mary Ann Metzger: University of Maryland Baltimore County, USA

Chapter 6 in Efficiency of Racetrack Betting Markets, 2008, pp 31-36 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: AbstractThree experimentally established biases away from optimality that result from misconceptions of chance, variations in the framing of outcomes, and the illusion of validity are of detectable dysfunctional consequence in the natural world of the gambler. A study of the public's betting in 12,316 horse races shows that the gambler's fallacy, increasing risk preference within a day, and insensitivity to actual contingencies contradicting expert opinion, principles derived from the results of laboratory experiments, can be meaningfully applied in the practical setting.

Keywords: Racetrack Efficiency; Racetrack Betting Market; Racetrack Betting; Win Market; Finance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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