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POST POSITION BIAS: An Econometric Analysis of the 1987 Season at Exhibition Park

Sandra Betton
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Sandra Betton: Department of Finance, University of British Columbia, Canada

Chapter 50 in Efficiency of Racetrack Betting Markets, 2008, pp 511-526 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: AbstractThis paper investigates the existence of a post position bias during the 1987 racing season at Exhibition Park. The econometric techniques of Probit and Pooled Cross-sectional Time Series analysis were used to analyze the relationship between the odds ranking, post position, and final position of a horse. The length of the race does not significantly improve the fit of any of the models. The results of this analysis indicate that the post position significantly adds to the information reflected in the odds rankings. The significance of the post position bias tends to increase as the number of horses taking part in the race increases.

Keywords: Racetrack Efficiency; Racetrack Betting Market; Racetrack Betting; Win Market; Finance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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