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Trade liberalization, product variety and growth in a small open economy: a quantitative assessment

Thomas F. Rutherford and David Tarr

Chapter 17 in Trade Policies for Development and Transition, 2017, pp 389-414 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: We develop a numerical growth model that quantifies the welfare effects of trade liberalization. Additional intermediate input varieties provide the engine of growth and dramatically magnify the welfare gains from trade liberalization. In our central model, a 10% tariff cut leads to a 10.6% estimated gain in Hicksian EV. Systematic sensitivity analysis shows that there is virtually no chance of a welfare increase less than 3%, but a 6.6% chance of a welfare gain greater than 18%. We show that complementary reforms are crucial to fully realize the potential gains from the trade reform.

Keywords: International Trade Policy; Developing Countries; Transition Countries; Growth; Poverty; Environment; Multilateral; Adjustment Costs; Autos and Steel (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Journal Article: Trade liberalization, product variety and growth in a small open economy: a quantitative assessment (2002) Downloads
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