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A Simple Procedure to Incorporate Predictive Models in Stochastic Investment Models

William T. Ziemba, Sebastien Lleo and Mikhail Zhitlukhin

Chapter 10 in Stock Market Crashes:Predictable and Unpredictable and What to do About Them, 2017, pp 235-245 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: Stochastic optimization has found a fertile ground for applications in finance. One of the greatest challenges remains to incorporate a set of scenarios that accurately models the behavior of financial markets, and in particular their behavior during crashes and crises, without sacrificing the tractability of the optimal investment policy. This chapter shows how to incorporate return predictions and crash predictions as views into continuous time asset allocation models.

Keywords: Stock Market Crashes; Brexit; Trump; Financial Bubbles (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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