The 2012 Triple Crown

William T. Ziemba

Chapter 16 in Exotic Betting at the Racetrack, 2019, pp 261-270 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: For the 2012 Belmont Stakes, I was in Istanbul, where I taught an applied stock market course at Sabanci University each June from 2010 to 2013. There was a lot of hype going into the Belmont as I’ll Have Another had won the Kentucky Derby and Preakness piloted by an unknown 25 year old Mexican jockey Mario Gutierrez. Thoughts of a triple crown winner abounded. But in the 34 years since Affirmed won all three races in 1978, there have been seven horses that went into the Belmont with a chance to win all three classic races. They are: Spectacular Bid, Silver Charm, Sunday Silence, Smarty Jones, Charismatic, Real Quiet, and Big Brown. In addition, there were some great horses who won the last two legs but had lost the Derby such as Risen Star, Afleet Alex and Point Given…

Keywords: Efficient; Inefficient; Racetrack; Betting; Market; Exotic Betting; Race; Handicapping; Strategies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: A1 C1 L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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