The cointegrated vector autoregressive model with general deterministic terms

Soren Johansen and Morten Nielsen

CREATES Research Papers from Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University

Abstract: In the cointegrated vector autoregression (CVAR) literature, deterministic terms have until now been analyzed on a case-by-case, or as-needed basis. We give a comprehensive unified treatment of deterministic terms in the additive model X(t)= Z(t) + Y(t), where Z(t) belongs to a large class of deterministic regressors and Y(t) is a zero-mean CVAR. We suggest an extended model that can be estimated by reduced rank regression and give a condition for when the additive and extended models are asymptotically equivalent, as well as an algorithm for deriving the additive model parameters from the extended model parameters. We derive asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimators and discuss tests for rank and tests on the deterministic terms. In particular, we give conditions under which the estimators are asymptotically (mixed) Gaussian, such that associated tests are khi squared distributed.

Keywords: Additive formulation; cointegration; deterministic terms; extended model; likelihood inference; VAR model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28
Date: 2016-07-24
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm and nep-ets
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https://repec.econ.au.dk/repec/creates/rp/16/rp16_22.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: The cointegrated vector autoregressive model with general deterministic terms (2018)
Working Paper: The cointegrated vector autoregressive model with general deterministic terms (2016)
Working Paper: The Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Model With General Deterministic Terms (2016)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aah:create:2016-22

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