On the Sensitivity of Banking Activity Shocks: Evidence from the CEMAC Sub-region

Christian Nguena and Tsafack Nanfosso Roger ()
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Tsafack Nanfosso Roger: Economic Policy Management Program

No 13_007, AAYE Policy Research Working Paper Series from Association of African Young Economists

Abstract: This paper qualitatively and quantitatively assesses the degree of resilience in the financial intermediary sector of the Economic and Monetary Community of Central African States (CEMAC) to macroeconomic shocks and discusses the relevant policy implications. Using GMM and a battery of estimations techniques, the panel-based investigations broadly show that the sub-region is vulnerable to macroeconomic shocks. Lower bank provisions result on the one hand from shortages or decreases in long-term financing, real exchange and GDP per capita growth rate on the other hand from increases of interest rates. Whereas the change in interest rate increases net income commission, the effect is negative from lower levels of short-term financing. The incidence of changes in interest rates on the interest rate margin of banks is ambiguous. The findings broadly confirm the need to incorporate macroeconomic shocks in financial policy decision making. The paper contributes at the same to the knowledge on stock management in monetary zones and the need to: (1) timely intervene to mitigate potential shocks and; (2) increase control to sustain the credibility of the banking system.

Keywords: Macroeconomic shock; Panel data econometrics; Shocks management; Banking economics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 G10 O16 O50 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 20 pages
Date: 2013-06, Revised 2013-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Journal Article: On the Sensitivity of Banking Activity Shocks: Evidence from the CEMAC Sub-region (2014)
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