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Trade Induced Technological Change: Did Chinese Competition Really Increase European Innovation?

Douglas Campbell and Karsten Mau

No w0262, Working Papers from New Economic School (NES)

Abstract: Bloom, Draca, and Van Reenen (2016) find that Chinese competition induced a rise in patenting, IT adoption, and TFP by up to 30% of the total increase in Europe in the early 2000s. Yet average patents per firm fell by 94% for the most China-competing firms in their sample, but also by 94% for non-competing firms. Their findings for patents appear to be driven by the decision to normalize patents by adding one (i.e., patents+1). Since China-competing firms had fewer patents to begin with, adding one induces bias, making it appear as though patents declined by a smaller percentage in the China-competing sectors. When we estimate a negative binomial regression using patents as the dependent variable, correcting several coding errors, we find no (or even negative) correlation between Chinese competition and patent growth.

Keywords: Patents; China; Europe; Textiles; Trade Shocks; Manufacturing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 F14 L25 L60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 12 pages
Date: 2020-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cna, nep-com, nep-eff, nep-ind and nep-int
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