Do you Feel the Heat Around the Corner? The Effect of Weather on Crime

Nadezhda Baryshnikova, Shannon Davidson and Dennis Wesselbaum
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Shannon Davidson: Deloitte

No 2019-07, School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers from University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy

Abstract: In this paper, we study the weather-crime relationship using a unique high-frequency, city-level data set for the United States with 2.4 mio. observations. In contrast to the existing literature using (often) daily data, we match hourly observations of weather and crime. Our results show that using daily observations overestimates the effect of temperature and underestimates the effect of precipitation on crime and leads to different conclusions about the significance of variables. We document evidence for a non-linear relationship between weather variables and crime. Again, results differ greatly between daily and hourly observations.

Keywords: Crime; Non-linearity; Weather (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C55 K42 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-env, nep-law and nep-ure
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Journal Article: Do you feel the heat around the corner? The effect of weather on crime (2022)
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