On the bi-directional causal relationship between public debt and economic growth in EMU countries
Marta Gómez-Puig () and
Simon Sosvilla-Rivero ()
No 15-06, Working Papers from Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales
New evidence is presented on the possible existence of bi-directional causal relationships between public debt and economic growth in both central and peripheral countries of the European Economic and Monetary Union. We test for heterogeneity in the bi-directional Granger-causality across both time and space during the period between 1980 and 2013. The results suggest evidence of a “diabolic loop” between low economic growth and high public debt levels in Spain after 2009. For Belgium, Greece, Italy and the Netherlands debt has a negative effect over growth from an endogenously determined breakpoint and above a debt threshold ranging from 56% to 103% depending on the country.
Keywords: Public debt; economic growth; Granger-causality; euro area; peripheral EMU countries; central EMU countries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 F33 H63 O40 O52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 30 pages
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec and nep-fdg
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (37) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Working Paper: On the bi-directional causal relationship between public debt and economic growth in EMU countries (2015)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aee:wpaper:1506
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in Working Papers from Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Luis Miguel del Corral Cuervo ().