Trade Policies and Poverty in Uganda: A Computable General Equilibrium Micro Simulation Analysis

Milton Ayoki

Working Papers from African Economic Research Consortium

Abstract: This paper examines the impact of trade liberalization on poverty in Uganda. Using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) framework and benchmark data from the 2002 household survey, three simulations are performed: removal of EAC tariffs, removal of non-EAC COMESA tariffs, and removal of all tariffs. Results indicate that poverty falls in all cases, but poverty falls much more in the case of a complete removal of tariffs on all imports (2.94%), compared with the case of removal of EAC tariffs (2.76%) or non-EAC COMESA tariffs (1.08%).

Date: 2013-07
Note: African Economic Research Consortium
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