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Can foreign aid dampen the threat of terrorism to international trade? Evidence from 78 developing countries

Simplice Asongu () and Ivo Leke ()
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Ivo Leke: University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada

No 18/027, AFEA Working Papers from African Finance and Economic Association (AFEA)

Abstract: The study investigates whether development assistance can be used to crowd-out the negative effect of terrorism on international trade. The empirical evidence is based on a panel of 78 developing countries for the period 1984-2008 and Quantile Regressions. The following main findings are established. First, bilateral aid significantly reduces the negative effect of transnational terrorism on trade in the top quantiles of the trade distribution. Second, multilateral aid also significantly mitigates the negative effect of terrorism dynamics on trade in the top quantiles of the trade distributions. It follows that it is primarily in countries with above median levels of international trade that development assistance can be used as an effective policy tool for dampening the adverse effects of terrorism on trade. Practical implications are discussed.

Keywords: Exports; Foreign Aid; Terrorism; Development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F40 F23 F35 Q34 O40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int
Date: 2018-01
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Forthcoming in Arthaniti: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice

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http://afeawpapers.org/RePEc/afe/afe-wpaper/Can-fo ... eat-of-terrorism.pdf Revised version, 2018 (application/pdf)

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Working Paper: Can foreign aid dampen the threat of terrorism to international trade? Evidence from 78 developing countries (2018) Downloads
Working Paper: Can foreign aid dampen the threat of terrorism to international trade? Evidence from 78 developing countries (2018) Downloads
Working Paper: Can foreign aid dampen the threat of terrorism to international trade? Evidence from 78 developing countries (2018) Downloads
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