A VALUATION APPROACH IN HOUSING BOOM AND BUST CYCLES

Donald Keenan, Taewon Kim and Daniel C. Lee

AfRES from African Real Estate Society (AfRES)

Abstract: In the housing market, there is a pattern of gradual price rises and noticeably more sudden price drops. This is because in an up market, the market comparisons approach forces home loan underwriters to be reluctant to approve a bigger loan than what the contemporary market comparisons would indicate. In a down market, on the other hand, underwriters do not face any such restriction and hence prices can drop to the level fully reflecting the declining market condition. The traditionalextrapolation typically used in determining the “time” value adjustmentsneed to be used more cautiously.

JEL-codes: R3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-09-01
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