Asymmetry, Risk, and Correlation Dynamics in the U.S. Fiber Market

Mohamadou L. Fadiga and Sukant K. Misra

No 19459, 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI from American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)

Abstract: This study looked at the dynamics of conditional correlations and hedging strategies in the US main cotton producing regions. A two-step procedure was utilized to model, estimate, and analyze volatility, conditional correlations, and the optimal hedge ratios using spot prices in the Delta, Southeast, Southern Plains, and the Southwest regions and the New York commodity exchanges December futures contracts. The results indicate that volatilities in most of the regions are asymmetric and persistent. The derived conditional correlations and the optimal hedging ratios are dynamic although they do not have unit root. Moreover, the changes in agricultural policies altered the dynamics of correlations and producers' hedging strategies in the Delta, Southeast, and Southern Plains regions.

Keywords: Risk; and; Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 23
Date: 2005
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:aaea05:19459

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.19459

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