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Estimating the Trade Duration of Kazakhstan’s Wheat Exports

Nizami Imamverdiyev, Sven Anders, Thomas Glauben (), Oleksandr Perekhozhuk () and Sören Prehn

No 205391, 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California from Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

Abstract: The objective of this study is to analyze the trade duration patterns of Kazakhstan’s wheat exports between 1995 and 2012. Using 4-digit HS code trade flow data we employ a discrete-time duration framework and probit models explicitly testing for unobserved heterogeneity across bilateral trade relationships. The empirical results indicate that trade cost, local production factors, price competitiveness and experience significantly explain the short duration of Kazakhstan’s wheat exports. The results imply that the stability and thus sustainability of Kazakhstan’s wheat exports critically depend on the market share of Russian wheat exports, abolishing restrictive export policies, and maintaining good trade relationships with traditional trading partners, especially post-Soviet Union economies.

Keywords: Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 2
Date: 2015
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis, nep-cwa, nep-int and nep-tra
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:aaea15:205391

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.205391

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