The FSEC-SSPs: Shared Socio-economic Pathways for global agricultural production and their implications for on-farm management decisions

Claudia Hunecke

No 321222, 96th Annual Conference, April 4-6, 2022, K U Leuven, Belgium from Agricultural Economics Society - AES

Abstract: The Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) are qualitative descriptions of five equally plausible, potential future scenarios related to climate change mitigation and adaptation. The FSEC-SSPs extend the SSPs framework and contribute to this literature by focusing on the global agricultural production level as its scope. We examine the drivers determining future on-farm management decisions and their outcomes regarding output and productivity, profitability, and environmental impacts. We apply a qualitative approach using semi-structured interviews and expert workshops, with its results to be implemented as a baseline in Integrated Assessment Modelling exercises. The storyline elements and the associated storylines are defined by an international group of experts in agricultural economics from both FSEC (Food System Economics Commission) and various other research institutions. Besides, bio-physical and locational factors of the farm, especially the structure of the agricultural system of the particular country and the political environment, are predicted to be significant drivers of future development. However, demand for various product groups, the availability and use of specific technologies, and the market structure are additional forces to impact production decisions. The description of typical farms for each SSP in different world regions will support the qualitative storylines.

Keywords: Environmental Economics and Policy; Production Economics; Farm Management (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 10
Date: 2022-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr and nep-env
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:aesc22:321222

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.321222

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