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Cattle Trade and the Risk of Importing Animal Diseases into the Netherlands

Thom Achterbosch, Dorte D.V. Dopfer and Andrzej A. Tabeau

No 24558, 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark from European Association of Agricultural Economists

Abstract: Projections of live cattle trade in the EU-25 assist to reduce the uncertainty on the risk of importing animal diseases in the Netherlands. The accession of 10 member states to the European Union has a potentially large impact on livestock trade in the EU as it liberalized in one stroke a trade that was administered by the Management Committee for Beef until May 1, 2004. The approach combines AG-Memod partial equilibrium with GTAP general equilibrium modelling in order to estimate the impact of quota liberalization. Quota removal will substantially alter the regional structure of livestock imports, as the share of new EU member states in the east triples to 25%. The risk outlook indicates a need for enhanced animal health services in the new member states.

Keywords: Risk; and; Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 17
Date: 2005
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:eaae05:24558

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.24558

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