Slovak Agricultural Markets Under Alternative CAP Scenarios - AG-MEMOD Modelling Approach

Jan Pokrivcak, Lubica Bartova and Pavel Ciaian

No 24674, 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark from European Association of Agricultural Economists

Abstract: Slovak sectoral partial equilibrium econometric model based on AG-MEMOD approach is used to analyse the development of the Slovak agricultural markets after EU accession. Simulation results for cereals, oilseeds and meats are provided in this article. Two scenarios are analysed: non-accession baseline and accession with adoption of single area payment scheme. EU accession is expected to increase prices of most products, the biggest increase of prices will occur in animal sector. Because of higher prices consumption will go down. Decrease of consumption will be mitigated by income growth. Production will not increase substantially due to decoupling of direct payments. Trade balance for majority of products will improve.

Keywords: Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 13
Date: 2005
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:eaae05:24674

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.24674

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