Impacts of Inventory Management on Price Volatility in Agricultural Commodity Markets: Insights from a System Dynamics Model
No 261281, 2017 International Congress, August 28-September 1, 2017, Parma, Italy from European Association of Agricultural Economists
Recent fluctuations of agricultural commodity prices have stimulated the debate on the potential causes of price volatility. One explanation is that weather shocks or other external factors perturb supply, thus leading to price fluctuations. An alternative explanation proposes that the persistent fluctuations are the result of nonlinear dynamics and would even occur in the absence of external shocks. This paper focuses on the latter explanation. We investigate under which conditions price volatility is primarily caused by nonlinear dynamics. Using a system dynamics modelling approach we show that plausible behaviour of actors can lead to persistent price fluctuations, even in the absence of external shocks.
Keywords: Agricultural and Food Policy; Marketing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/261281/files/B ... modity%20Markets.pdf (application/pdf)
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/261281/files/B ... s.pdf?subformat=pdfa (application/pdf)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:eaae17:261281
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in 2017 International Congress, August 28-September 1, 2017, Parma, Italy from European Association of Agricultural Economists Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by AgEcon Search ().