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Analysis of the Czech and Slovak Agricultural Markets under Alternative CAP Scenarios - AG-MEMOD Modelling Approach

Lubica Bartova, Jan Pokrivcak, Pavel Ciaian, Ivan Foltyn and Ida Zednickova

No 231834, 89th Seminar, February 2-5, 2005, Parma, Italy from European Association of Agricultural Economists

Abstract: The paper presents the results of research focusing on the modelling the impact of the EU enlargement on agriculture of the Czech Republic and Slovakia. The research has been conducted under the AG-MEMOD of the 5th Framework Programme. The Czech Republic and Slovakia joined the European Union (EU) in May 2004 and became part of the single European agricultural market. The impacts of three scenarios (non-accession and two accession scenarios with SAPS and SPS introduction) are investigated. The paper concentrates mostly on pig and potato sectors. The Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) is expected to adversely affect these two sectors. This is expected to be the case especially in Slovakia. The main reason is that these sectors faced higher domestic prices and higher support level before accession, while accession will lead to a limited support and price decline. Also continued restructuring is an additional factor that will affect these sectors after accession.

Keywords: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Industrial Organization; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 17
Date: 2005-02
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DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.231834

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