Household vulnerability to food insecurity in the face of climate change in Paraguay

Paul A. Ervin and Lyliana Gayoso de Ervin

No 288947, ESA Working Papers from Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA)

Abstract: This working paper analyses the effect climate change is expected to have on agricultural productivity, caloric consumption, and vulnerability to food insecurity of household agricultural producers in Paraguay. Our results suggest that increasing temperatures and reduced precipitation will reduce agricultural productivity and caloric consumption, and increase vulnerability to food insecurity. Specifically, a 1 percent increase in average maximum temperatures is associated with a 5 percent reduction in agricultural productivity. A 5 percent reduction in agricultural productivity translates into nearly a 1 percent reduction in caloric consumption. Vulnerability to food insecurity in Paraguay is expected to increase by 28 percentage points by 2100 due to climate change, increasing fastest in areas where temperatures are increasing and rainfall is diminishing. We explore a number of interventions that policy makers can pursue to limit the impact of climate change on food insecurity.

Keywords: Consumer/Household Economics; Food Security and Poverty; Risk and Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-02-20
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-dev, nep-env and nep-hme
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/288947/files/CA3391EN.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:faoaes:288947

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in ESA Working Papers from Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by AgEcon Search ().