A model of vulnerability to food insecurity

Jeronim Capaldo, Panagiotis Karfakis, Marco Knowles () and Mark Smulders

No 289020, ESA Working Papers from Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA)

Abstract: Empirical findings show that access to adequate and sufficient food in developing countries is unstable, suggesting that whether a household or individual is food secure at any point in time is best thought of in a dynamic sense. The more widely used food security analysis methods mainly consider current access to food, failing to provide policy makers with forward-looking information. While drawing on household survey data, the vulnerability analysis model presented here provides estimates of the probability that a given household will lose or gain access to sufficient food in the near future. We propose a model of vulnerability analysis that can improve policy design and targeting. We test the model with data from a survey of Nicaraguan households.

Keywords: Food Security and Poverty; Agricultural and Food Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-08-10
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:faoaes:289020

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.289020

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