 OPTIMAL ECONOMIC LENGTH OF LEYS: A DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING APPROACHAgnar Hegrenes, Anders Ringgaard Kristensen and Gudbrand D. Lien No 25848, 2003 Annual Meeting, August 16-22, 2003, Durban, South Africa from International Association of Agricultural Economists Abstract: A model is presented to investigate the optimal economic life cycle of grass leys with winter damage problems in northern Norway and to determine the threshold of winter damage before it is profitable to re-seed. A two-level hierarchic Markov process has been constructed using the MLHMP software. The model takes uncertainty concerning yield potential, damage estimation and weather dependent random fluctuations into account. A Kalman filter technique is used for updating of knowledge on yield potential and damage level. The application of the model is demonstrated using data from two commercial Norwegian farms. Since parameter estimates vary considerably among farms, it is concluded that decision support concerning optimal economic life cycle of grass leys should be done at farm level. The results also show the importance of using a flexible dynamic replacement strategy. Use of the model for a specific farm situation is illustrated. Keywords: Resource/Energy; Economics; and; Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:iaae03:25848 Access Statistics for this paper More papers in 2003 Annual Meeting, August 16-22, 2003, Durban, South Africa from International Association of Agricultural Economists Contact information at EDIRC. |
Is your work missing from RePEc? Here is how to contribute.
Questions or problems? Check the EconPapers FAQ or send mail to .
EconPapers is hosted by the
School of Business at Örebro University.