Fluctuation and Cycle of Pork Price in China

Fengying Nie, Ling Dong and Jieying Bi

No 51654, 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China from International Association of Agricultural Economists

Abstract: By using Census x12 Seasonal Adjustment Method and Hodrick-Prescott Filter Method, Frequency (band-pass) Filter Method, it was found that there are obvious and regular seasonal feature in the fluctuation of pork price in China; Unexpected event or contingency shocks affect pork price significantly; Over the long-term view, pork price displays a rising trend; Pork price fluctuation approximately experienced 3 complete cycles from Jan, 1996 to May, 2009. The length of the cycles is between 37 and 49 months, and the average length is 42.33 months.

Keywords: Demand; and; Price; Analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 14
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:iaae09:51654

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.51654

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