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EU market access for agricultural products in the Doha Development Round: A sensitive issue

Alison M. Burrell, Emanuele Ferrari (), Aida Gonzalez Mallado and Jerzy Michalek
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Aida Gonzalez Mellado

No 126950, 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil from International Association of Agricultural Economists

Abstract: This paper examines how EU trade flows and production values are affected by introducing special treatment for developed countries’ sensitive products into a potential DDA agreement. In particular, it explores how the EU’s decisions regarding the size of the tariff cut for sensitive products and the corresponding size of TRQ expansion affect its protection levels, its own GDP and that of other countries and regions. It is assumed that the EU’s management of its sensitive product regime aims to maintain farm incomes and production values, rather than to minimise import access. A novelty of the paper is that it explores the extent to which achieving this aim depends on similar decisions taken by other developed countries. The simulation tool used to analyse thirteen scenarios, with a time horizon of 2020, is the global Computable General Equilibrium model GLOBE. Results indicate that the lowest tariff cuts for sensitive products may not necessarily lead to the smallest decrease in agricultural production. Moreover, the interdependencies between the sensitive product choices of developed countries are considerable. The extent to which EU management decisions relating to sensitive products matter for the impact of a DDA agreement on third countries’ GDP is also examined.

Keywords: International Development; International Relations/Trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 18
Date: 2012
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr and nep-cmp
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DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.126950

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