2015 Conference, April 20-21, 2015, St. Louis, Missouri

From NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management
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285845: Using Local Information to Improve Short-run Corn Cash Price Forecasts

Xiaojie Xu and Walter N. Thurman

285844: Contango and Backwardation as Predictors of Commodity Price Direction

Paul E. Peterson

285843: Anticipatory Signals of Changes in Corn Demand

Leslie J. Verteramo and William G. Tomek

285842: The Rainfall Index Annual Forage Pilot Program as a Risk Management Tool for Cool Season Forage

Joshua G. Maples and B Brorsen

285841: A New and Dynamic Look at Forecasting MPP Margin Price

Hernan A. Tejeda and Dillon M. Feuz

285840: The Effects of Brazilian Second (Winter) Corn Crop on Price Seasonality, Basis Behavior and Integration to International Market

Fabio Mattos and Rodrigo L. F. Silveira

285839: Performance of 5-Year Olympic Moving Average in Forecasting U.S. Crop Year Revenue for Program Crops

Sanghyo Kim, Carl Zulauf and Matthew Roberts

285838: Characterizing the Effect of USDA Report Announcements in the Winter Wheat Futures Market Using Realized Volatility

Gabriel D. Bunek and Joseph P. Janzen

285837: Bubbles, Froth, and Facts: What Evidence is there to Support the Masters Hypothesis?

Dwight R. Sanders and Scott H. Irwin

285836: Will the Margin Protection Program for Dairy Producers Crowd Out Dairy Futures and Options?

Fanda Yang and Marin Bozic

285835: Information Content of USDA Rice Reports and Price Reactions of Rice Futures

Jessica L. Darby and Andrew M. McKenzie

285834: Nearby and Deferred Quotes: What They Tell Us about Linkages and Adjustments to Information

Mindy Mallory and Philip Garcia

285833: Accuracy-Informativeness Tradeoff for Interval Forecast Comparison

Olga Isengildina and Fabio Mattos

285832: Pricing Corn Calendar Spread Options

Juheon Seok and B Brorsen

285831: Forecasting Urea Prices

Seon-Woong Kim and B Brorsen

285830: Extraordinary Monetary Policy Effects on Commodity Prices

AitbekAmatov, and Jeffrey H. Dorfman

285829: Tests of the Difference between In-Sample and Post-Sample Hedging Effectiveness

Roger A. Dahlgran

285828: Forecasting Returns to Storage: The Role of Factors other than the Basis Strategy

Sanghyo Kim, Carl Zulauf and Matthew Roberts

285827: Forecasting Commodity Price Volatility with Internet Search Activity

Arabinda Basistha, Alexander Kurov and Marketa Halova Wolfe

285826: Can Cattle Basis Forecasts Be Improved? A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach

Nicholas Payne and Berna Karali

285825: Relative Impact of StarLink and MIR162

Xue Han and Philip Garcia