On the Relationship of Expected Supply and Demand to Futures Prices

Hans Walter P. Chua and William G. Tomek

No 285311, 2010 Conference, April 19-20, 2010, St. Louis, Missouri from NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management

Abstract: Expectations about future economic conditions are important determinants of commodity prices. This paper presents a relatively simple model that makes futures prices for corn a function of expected production and inventories and of variables that account for demand shifts. The intent is to provide an historical, objective context for new price and quantity observations, which may help market analysts.

Keywords: Marketing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-04
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:nccc10:285311

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.285311

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