 PRICE RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES FOR GRAIN IMPORTERSWilliam Wilson and Robert Wagner No 23665, Staff Papers from North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics Abstract: The presence of multiple sources of uncertainty complicates hedging decisions. One of these is the output price and its correlation with input prices. The other is how far forward a firm covers its positions. This study analyzes hedging strategies for grain importers as processors. The analytical model addresses questions of the hedge horizon and accounts for the correlation between input and output prices and exchange rate risk. A theoretical model was developed explicitly modeling the operations of a grain importing firm. The concept of strategic demand for hedging was developed in the context of an analytical model, representing the adjustment in hedge ratios in relation to the hedge horizon and input-output price correlations. Results indicated that the hedging demand diminishes as the time horizon increases, that input-output price correlations have an important impact on hedging, as does the exchange rate. The model also illustrated the impact of price controls and/or output contracting on risk exposure and the demand for hedging. Keywords: International Relations/Trade; Risk and Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:nddsps:23665 Access Statistics for this paper More papers in Staff Papers from North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics Contact information at EDIRC. |
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