Economic Risks of Tariff Escalation for California Almond Producers

Sandro Steinbach and Yasin Yildirim

No 352088, CAPTS Report from North Dakota State University

Abstract: California’s almond industry faces increasing economic uncertainty from trade policy shifts and potential tariff retaliation. This report evaluates the trade risks associated with seven trade policy scenarios using trade elasticity estimates and historical trade data. The findings indicate that broad-based tariff measures could significantly reduce export demand, with Fresno, Kern, and Stanislaus counties experiencing the largest losses. These potential disruptions underscore the need for strategic planning, including market diversification and policy adaptations, to mitigate risks and sustain the industry’s global position.

Keywords: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 10
Date: 2025-03-05
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/352088/files/C ... FINAL%20Mar32025.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:ndsure:352088

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.352088

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CAPTS Report from North Dakota State University Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by AgEcon Search ().