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Scenarios of Global Diets and the Impact on Land Resources

Ronald Sands

No 330175, Conference papers from Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

Abstract: We use a global computable-general-equilibrium (CGE) model based on GTAP social accounts to simulate alternative food consumption scenarios from the present through 2050. Scenarios of future population and income are taken from the Shared Socio-economic Pathways, which also provide narrative on aspects of development such as technological change, environmental protection, and changes in diets. A two-stage consumer demand system, with the linear expenditure system as the first stage, is used to keep per-capita calorie consumption in a plausible range. Demand system parameters are adjusted over time to simulate alternative diets.

Keywords: Land; Economics/Use (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 5
Date: 2017
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