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Modelling the U.S. Sweetener Sector in MONASH-USA

Ashley Winston and Marinos Tsigas

No 331418, Conference papers from Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

Abstract: MONASH-USA (also known as USAGE-ITC) is a detailed dynamic general equilibrium model of the U.S. being developed by the Centre of Policy Studies in collaboration with the U.S. International Trade Commission. This paper reports on the preliminary results of an ongoing project aimed at enhancing the modelling of the sweetener sector (sugar, corn-derivative sweeteners, and related sectors such as ethanol and sugar-containing products). This project seeks to (a) add detail to the industry and commodity classification of the relevant sectors and (b) create a detailed modelling structure for the U.S. trade and industry-support policies that affect these sectors. This paper: (i) briefly outlines the structure of the U.S. sweetener industries and the significant related sectors, and the current trade and support policies; (ii) describes the various adjustments made to the model’s database; (iii) describes the modelling techniques used to capture the various components of the trade and support policies directed at these industries or which influence them indirectly; and (iv) reports on the results of some preliminary simulations using MONASH-USA involving changes to components of the various policy tools modelled. A second theme of the research is the development and application of methods for modelling complementarity relationships in a large-scale general equilibrium framework.

Keywords: Research Methods/Statistical Methods; Agricultural and Food Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 34
Date: 2005
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