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Modelling Gender Impacts of Policy Reforms in Bangladesh: A Study in a Sequential Dynamic CGE Framework

Selim Raihan, Rabeya Khatoon, M. Jami Husain and Suriya Rahman

No 331518, Conference papers from Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

Abstract: The research explores the gender aspects of policy reforms in Bangladesh in a sequential dynamic computational general equilibrium (CGE) framework. This research uses the most updated SAM of Bangladesh and is the first attempt to build a gendered sequential dynamic CGE model for the Bangladesh economy. A ‘home production’ version of gendered CGE model for the Bangladesh economy is developed. This research tries to understand how gender interests are affected by greater exposure to trade and other policy reforms. The shortrun and long-run impacts of policy reforms in the labour market and in the household in a gendered framework are also explored. The research performs two simulations to examine the impact of: (1) domestic trade liberalisation in Bangladesh, and (2) the phasing-out of Multi-fibre Agreement (MFA) on textile and garments. This research builds a gendered social accounting matrix (SAM) for the year 2000 and uses it in a sequential dynamic computable general equilibrium framework. The representative household approach is followed. It is found that domestic trade liberalisation leads to a significant expansion of the ready-made garment sectors in the economy as a result of which the share of market labour supply of unskilled female labour increases. But, this results in a fall in the shares of domestic labour supply and leisure of unskilled female members of the households. The fall in the share of leisure time may have significant negative implications for the time spent on education by this labour category. It is also observed that the long run impacts are different from the short run impacts with respect to the magnitude of the effects. In the case of second simulation, it can be noted that the phasing out of the MFA works in completely the opposite direction. The share of market labour supply of unskilled female members of the households decrease, and the shares of domestic work and leisure increase for most of the households both in the short and long run.

Keywords: Research Methods/Statistical Methods; Labor and Human Capital (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 44
Date: 2006
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