The role of Japanese multinationals' affiliates in China: A dynamic CGE analysis of FDI between Japan and China

María C. Latorre and Nobuhiro Hosoe

No 332365, Conference papers from Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

Abstract: This paper analyzes the impact of the foreign direct investment (FDI) evolution of Japanese multinational enterprises (MNEs) operating in China during the recent financial crisis. The study is conducted by means of a three region (Japan-China-ROW) recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of MNEs. Outstanding data from the METI of the operations of Japanese MNEs are used. Thus, we model Japanese MNEs taking into account their export and import propensity, the value added and production they generate, as well as, their capital intensity patterns. These features stand out among the few CGEs that consider the presence of MNEs. The FDI decrease would seem to produce rather small adjustments in the aggregate variables of China and Japan. However, their bilateral trade patterns are considerably affected. Furthermore, in the case of Japanese MNEs operating in the Chinese transport equipment sector, the fall in FDI would bring about a reduction in exports to the rest of the world region. This would suggest a potential conduit by which FDI patterns between China and Japan would also impact world trade flows.

Keywords: Financial Economics; International Development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28
Date: 2013
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332365

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